in my post from December 9, 2016, I presented the expectation of an increase in diesel prices at service stations for the end of the year, given that the increase had just been announced at refineries.
The final diesel price data for 2016 has already been published by the ANP. The analysis shows that the expected increase in posts has not yet materialized. However, Petrobras has just announced a new increase in diesel prices in refineries in January 2017, which puts pressure on an even greater increase in stations that resell this fuel.
I present here again the graph with the history of diesel prices at service stations, with data from surveys completed by the ANP.
Figure 1 – Evolution of the average price of S10 diesel at service stations
Source: ANP / Analysis: ILOS
It is interesting to note that the values vary between the different states of the country. The states where the price of diesel is more expensive are Amapá and Acre, places where demand is lower and where logistical access is more restricted. In these states, the average cost of diesel is R$3,3/liter. The difference between the states with the highest and lowest prices reaches 22%. The map and table below show average diesel prices by UF.
Figure 1 – Evolution of the average price of S10 diesel at service stations
Source: ANP / Analysis: ILOS
Figure 1 - Table of the average price of S10 diesel at service stations, by State (December/2016)
Source: ANP / Analysis: ILOS
The ILOS will follow the rising trend in diesel prices at service stations, and we will bring the values to our readers in the coming months.
References:
G1 – Petrobras readjusts the price of diesel and maintains the price of gasoline (05/01/17) http://g1.globo.com/economia/noticia/petrobras-anuncia-reajuste-do-diesel-e-manutencao-do-preco-da-gasolina.ghtml
ILOS – And the diesel price increase has arrived… (09/12/16)
https://ilos.com.br/web/e-o-aumento-do-preco-do-diesel-chegou-ilos/
Maria Fernanda Hijjar
https://ilos.com.brManaging Partner of ILOS, she holds a master's degree and a bachelor's degree in Production Engineering from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ). With over 10 years of experience in Logistics and Supply Chain, she has worked on various projects, managing and participating in research related to the topic. She has published more than 20 articles in newspapers, magazines, periodicals and conference proceedings, and is co-author of several titles in the COPPEAD Collection published by Atlas and in the ILOS and CEL/COPPEAD Logistics Panorama Collection.
